YkkösliigaYkkösliiga
Tuesday, 21 July 2026Last updated 10:05
KäPa

KäPa

Home
DL
02
Full time
Klubi-04

Klubi-04

Away
D
Markku.fi Areena
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
KäPa(39%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
KäPa
39%
Draw
27%
Klubi-04
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
KäPa
54
Klubi-04
73
Defence
KäPa
14
Klubi-04
27
Momentum
KäPa
17
Klubi-04
33
Danger (xG)
KäPa
1.35
Klubi-04
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (KäPa)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (Klubi-04)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (KäPa)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (Klubi-04)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
KäPaKäPa
DLWDD
Klubi-04Klubi-04
DW

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
KäPa39%
Draw27%
Klubi-0434%

KäPa leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

KäPa head into this in Ykkösliiga fixture at Markku.fi Areena in mixed form (DL), while Klubi-04 arrive in mixed form (D). KäPa have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Klubi-04 over 1 games.

The model rates KäPa's attack at 54/100 against a 27/100 Klubi-04 defence, and Klubi-04's attack at 73/100 against a 14/100 KäPa backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

KäPa have won 1 of their last 4 home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Klubi-04 have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between KäPa and Klubi-04 in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects KäPa to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: KäPa 3879%, Draw 2718%, Klubi-04 3404%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

KäPa

KäPa

D
vs SJK Akatemia
17 Jul 2026
22
L
@ PK-35
10 Jul 2026
13
W
vs JäPS
28 Jun 2026
31
D
vs PK-35
17 May 2026
00
D
vs MyPa
13 May 2026
11
Klubi-04

Klubi-04

D
vs Haka
17 Jul 2026
22
W
vs SJK Akatemia
26 Jun 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win KäPa vs Klubi-04?

GoalVio's model predicts KäPa to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for KäPa vs Klubi-04?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in KäPa vs Klubi-04?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in KäPa vs Klubi-04?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more