Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
KäPa are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Klubi-04 are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 38.4 against 38.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 16 · avg 1.80/3.20
GF 19 · GA 7 · avg 3.80/1.40