Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JIPPO · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
KäPa are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while JIPPO are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and JIPPO hold a 20.2-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 59.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.7% in the Ykkösliiga, while JIPPO holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JIPPO
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
17.7%
JIPPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60