Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JIPPO · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
KäPa are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while JIPPO are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and JIPPO hold a 19.1-point power-rating edge (38.4 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.9% in the Ykkösliiga, while JIPPO holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JIPPO
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
JIPPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80