Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JIPPO · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
KäPa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while JIPPO are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and JIPPO hold a 19.1-point power-rating edge (38.4 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.9% in the Ykkösliiga, while JIPPO holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JIPPO
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
JIPPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20