Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
haka · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
KäPa are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while haka are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and haka hold a 27.1-point power-rating edge (38.4 v 65.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.9% in the Ykkösliiga, while haka holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
haka
Probability
67.9%
Model confidence
67.9%
haka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00