Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FF Jaro · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
KäPa are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while FF Jaro are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FF Jaro hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (38.4 v 64.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.5% in the Ykkösliiga, while FF Jaro holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FF Jaro
Probability
64.5%
Model confidence
64.5%
FF Jaro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80