Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
14%
MediumconfidenceKäPa are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while EIF are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and eIF hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Ykkösliiga, favouring a draw with 13.7% confidence, a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
28.7%
Model confidence
13.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KäPaLLLDL
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
EIFWDLLL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
KäPaEIF
35.2Attack44.4
44.4Defence44.4
29.6Form42.6
39.2Power45.3
1.24xG1.39