Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
EIF · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
KäPa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.40 conceded, while EIF are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and EIF hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (38.4 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Ykkösliiga, while EIF holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
EIF
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
EIF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 17 · avg 1.60/3.40
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80