Kozuv Gevgelijavs
Novaci
COMPLETEDMacedonia · Second League · 9/19/2026, 1:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kozuv Gevgelija · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kozuv Gevgelija 0-1 Novaci
Original prediction
Kozuv Gevgelija
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.2% | 39.4% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.7% | 27.9% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.12 | 29.1% | 32.7% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Kozuv Gevgelija
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Kozuv Gevgelija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60