GGOALVIO

Macedonia · Second League · 8/12/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kozuv Gevgelija · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Kozuv Gevgelija are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLLD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Karaorman are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 3.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kozuv Gevgelija hold a 25.6-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 23.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.2% in the Second League, while Kozuv Gevgelija holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kozuv Gevgelija

Probability

70.2%

Model confidence

70.2%

Kozuv Gevgelija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kozuv GevgelijaLLLD

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.50/1.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
KaraormanLLL

GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.33/3.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Kozuv GevgelijaKaraorman
37.9Attack21.8
60.9Defence20.7
43.7Form17.2
49.2Power23.6
2.09xG0.54
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