Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pardubice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kozlovice 0-6 Pardubice
Original prediction
Pardubice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 25.29 | 3.6% | 28.1% | 24.5 pts |
| Draw | 10.01 | 9.2% | 22.0% | 12.8 pts |
| Away | 1.05 | 87.2% | 49.9% | -37.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-37.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Pardubice
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Pardubice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KozloviceWWWDW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PardubiceWDLWL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KozlovicePardubice
55.6Attack66.7
55.6Defence100.0
55.6Form100.0
59.1Power88.7
1.76xG1.82