Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kozlovice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 4-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kozlovice 5-0 Brumov
Original prediction
Kozlovice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.24 | 71.9% | 73.3% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.23 | 17.1% | 14.8% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 8.05 | 11.1% | 11.9% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.4–08%
Predicted outcome
Kozlovice
Probability
73.3%
Model confidence
73.3%
Kozlovice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KozloviceLWWWD
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BrumovLLDLW
GF 10 · GA 16 · avg 2.00/3.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
KozloviceBrumov
88.9Attack61.1
66.7Defence0.0
88.9Form22.2
81.7Power31.2
4.17xG1.17