Kozakken Boysvs
Spakenburg
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kozakken Boys · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kozakken Boys 2-0 Spakenburg
Original prediction
Kozakken Boys
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.7% | 59.2% | 16.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.4% | 19.2% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 33.9% | 21.6% | -12.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Kozakken Boys
Probability
59.2%
Model confidence
59.2%
Kozakken Boys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 5 · avg 3.80/1.00
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80