GGOALVIO

Netherlands · Tweede Divisie · 9/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kozakken Boys · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Kozakken Boys 1-1 Koninklijke HFC

Original prediction

Kozakken Boys

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6455.1%62.4%7.2 pts
Draw4.0022.6%19.1%-3.6 pts
Away4.0722.2%18.6%-3.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

7.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–19%
  2. 2.2–18%
  3. 3.4–17%

Predicted outcome

Kozakken Boys

Probability

62.4%

Model confidence

62.4%

Kozakken Boys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kozakken BoysWWWWD

GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Koninklijke HFCWLDDW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Kozakken BoysKoninklijke HFC
94.4Attack44.4
44.4Defence33.3
72.2Form27.8
69.9Power38.3
3.12xG1.28
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