GGOALVIO

Netherlands · Tweede Divisie · 10/24/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kozakken Boys · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Kozakken Boys 0-1 Barendrecht

Original prediction

Kozakken Boys

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6156.5%53.8%-2.7 pts
Draw4.2121.6%23.1%1.5 pts
Away4.1621.9%23.1%1.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–19%
  2. 2.2–18%
  3. 3.4–17%

Predicted outcome

Kozakken Boys

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

53.8%

Kozakken Boys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kozakken BoysDWWDW

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BarendrechtWLWWW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Kozakken BoysBarendrecht
83.3Attack63.3
60.0Defence43.3
70.0Form56.7
70.3Power55.0
3.22xG1.35
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