Kowloon Cityvs
Eastern District
COMPLETEDHong-Kong · League Cup · 10/4/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eastern District · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kowloon City 1-2 Eastern District
Original prediction
Eastern District
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 21:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 33.2% | 36.0% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.8% | 25.9% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 43.0% | 38.1% | -4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Eastern District
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Eastern District has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00