GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 2 · 8/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bałtyk Koszalin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kotwica Kórnik are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Bałtyk Koszalin are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bałtyk Koszalin hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the III Liga - Group 2, while Bałtyk Koszalin holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bałtyk Koszalin

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

12.1%

Bałtyk Koszalin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kotwica KórnikDDLLD

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Bałtyk KoszalinDL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Kotwica KórnikBałtyk Koszalin
48.0Attack33.3
41.2Defence66.7
35.3Form33.3
42.7Power45.3
1.50xG1.58
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