Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sonthofen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kottern are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sonthofen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sonthofen hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (30.3 v 49.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Sonthofen holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sonthofen
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Sonthofen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00