Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sonthofen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kottern are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sonthofen are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sonthofen hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (30.3 v 49.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Sonthofen holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sonthofen
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Sonthofen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80