GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/14/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rain / Lech · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kottern are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Rain / Lech are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Rain / Lech hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (30.3 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Rain / Lech holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rain / Lech

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

37.8%

Rain / Lech has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KotternWDLLD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Rain / LechLLWLL

GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
KotternRain / Lech
33.3Attack42.2
26.7Defence47.1
20.0Form43.1
30.3Power46.1
1.39xG1.53
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