GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 9/30/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pipinsried · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Kottern are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Pipinsried are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pipinsried hold a 59.4-point power-rating edge (30.3 v 89.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.6% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Pipinsried holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pipinsried

Probability

70.6%

Model confidence

70.6%

Pipinsried has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KotternLDLWW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PipinsriedLWWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
KotternPipinsried
33.3Attack100.0
26.7Defence73.3
20.0Form100.0
30.3Power89.8
0.94xG2.71
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