GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 3/16/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kottern · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Kottern are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Kirchheimer SC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kottern hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (30.3 v 23.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.9% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Kottern holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kottern

Probability

57.9%

Model confidence

57.9%

Kottern has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KotternDLWLW

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Kirchheimer SCLDWLD

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KotternKirchheimer SC
33.3Attack37.3
26.7Defence9.8
20.0Form14.7
30.3Power23.2
2.36xG1.26
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