GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 9/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Kottern are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Kirchanschöring are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Kirchanschöring hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (31.6 v 41.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, favouring a draw with 9.0% confidence, a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

23.4%

Model confidence

9.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KotternLLLWW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
KirchanschöringLWDLL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
KotternKirchanschöring
41.7Attack58.3
16.7Defence25.0
25.0Form33.3
31.6Power41.9
1.83xG1.99
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