Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ismaning · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kottern are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ismaning are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ismaning hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (30.3 v 37.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Ismaning holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ismaning
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Ismaning has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40