Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ismaning · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kottern are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ismaning are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ismaning hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (30.3 v 37.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Ismaning holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ismaning
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Ismaning has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40