GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 9/16/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heimstetten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kottern are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Heimstetten are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Heimstetten hold a 22.6-point power-rating edge (30.3 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Heimstetten holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heimstetten

Probability

49.4%

Model confidence

49.4%

Heimstetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KotternLWWWW

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HeimstettenWDWWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
KotternHeimstetten
33.3Attack53.3
26.7Defence53.3
20.0Form46.7
30.3Power53.0
1.26xG1.93
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