Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kottern · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kottern are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Grünwald are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Grünwald hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (30.3 v 36.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Kottern holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kottern
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Kottern has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80