Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kottern · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Kottern are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Garching are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kottern hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (30.3 v 28.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.6% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Kottern holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kottern
Probability
57.6%
Model confidence
57.6%
Kottern has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40