Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dachau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kottern are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Dachau are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dachau hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (30.3 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Dachau holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dachau
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Dachau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40