World · World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · 10/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kosovo W · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (12%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kosovo W 1-2 Austria W
Original prediction
Kosovo W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 16.93 | 5.4% | 40.5% | 35.2 pts |
| Draw | 7.02 | 12.9% | 22.0% | 9.1 pts |
| Away | 1.11 | 81.7% | 37.5% | -44.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
35.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Kosovo W
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Kosovo W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60