Kosovovs
Rep. Of Ireland
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Nations League · 9/24/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kosovo · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 3-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kosovo 1-0 Rep. Of Ireland
Original prediction
Kosovo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 15:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 39.1% | 58.3% | 19.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 30.7% | 23.0% | -7.8 pts |
| Away | 3.12 | 30.1% | 18.8% | -11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.3–011%
Predicted outcome
Kosovo
Probability
58.3%
Model confidence
58.3%
Kosovo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20