Kosovo U21vs
Cyprus U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 9/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kosovo U21 · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (15%), 2-0 (13%), 4-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kosovo U21 2-1 Cyprus U21
Original prediction
Kosovo U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.24 | 73.7% | 81.0% | 7.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.48 | 16.7% | 12.1% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 9.43 | 9.7% | 6.9% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–015%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.4–013%
Predicted outcome
Kosovo U21
Probability
81.0%
Model confidence
81.0%
Kosovo U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80