CupCup
Tuesday, 16 June 2026Last updated 10:01
Kose

Kose

Home
W
80
Full time
Kummik

Kummik

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
61% confidence
Kose(61%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Kose
Win probability
Kose
61%
Draw
20%
Kummik
19%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Kose
100
Kummik
9
Defence
Kose
91
Kummik
0
Momentum
Kose
100
Kummik
0
Danger (xG)
Kose
7.20
Kummik
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Kose)
7.20
avg per match
xG for (Kummik)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Kose)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Kummik)
7.20
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
KoseKose
W
KummikKummik
L

Probability breakdown

61% confidence
Kose61%
Draw20%
Kummik19%

Kose leads with 61% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Kose head into this in Cup fixture in mixed form (W), while Kummik arrive in mixed form (L). Kose have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Kummik over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Kose's elite attack (100/100) faces a vulnerable Kummik defence (0/100), while Kummik's attack is up against a watertight Kose backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Kose's favour.

Kose have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 8.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Kummik have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 8.0 conceded per away game.

Kose have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 8.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Kose to win with 61% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Kose 6139%, Draw 1990%, Kummik 1871%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Kose 1Draws 00 Kummik
Avg goals: 8.0
16 Jun 2026
Kose
W80
Kummik

Recent form

Kose

Kose

W
vs Kummik
16 Jun 2026
80
Kummik

Kummik

L
@ Kose
16 Jun 2026
08

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Kose vs Kummik?

GoalVio's model predicts Kose to win with 61% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Kose vs Kummik?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Kose vs Kummik?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Kose vs Kummik?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more