GGOALVIO

Belgium · Jupiler Pro League · 8/6/2023, 5:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

St. Truiden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kortrijk are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while St. Truiden are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and St. Truiden hold a 38.3-point power-rating edge (10.0 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Jupiler Pro League, while St. Truiden holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

St. Truiden

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

St. Truiden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KortrijkLWLDW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
St. TruidenLWWWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
KortrijkSt. Truiden
0.0Attack66.7
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form33.3
10.0Power48.3
1.39xG1.81
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