Kortrijkvs
SK Beveren
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 9/20/2026, 5:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SK Beveren · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kortrijk 1-0 SK Beveren
Original prediction
SK Beveren
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.63 | 35.4% | 25.9% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 27.1% | 24.7% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 37.5% | 49.4% | 11.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
SK Beveren
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
SK Beveren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60