Kortrijk U21vs
Lierse K. U21
COMPLETEDBelgium · Reserve Pro League · 9/18/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kortrijk U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kortrijk U21 3-1 Lierse K. U21
Original prediction
Kortrijk U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.23 | 73.3% | 54.2% | -19.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.67 | 15.9% | 22.7% | 6.7 pts |
| Away | 8.35 | 10.8% | 23.1% | 12.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Kortrijk U21
Probability
54.2%
Model confidence
54.2%
Kortrijk U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60