Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lidingö · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Korsnäs 0-3 Lidingö
Original prediction
Lidingö
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.8% | 32.8% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.1% | 23.2% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.66 | 34.1% | 44.0% | 9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Lidingö
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Lidingö has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KorsnäsLLDLD
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LidingöWLLLL
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
KorsnäsLidingö
31.7Attack36.5
22.2Defence38.1
17.5Form27.0
27.3Power36.6
1.26xG1.64