Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Järfälla · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3
Korsnäs are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 3.25 conceded, while Järfälla are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Järfälla hold a 36.8-point power-rating edge (27.1 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.8% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Järfälla holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Järfälla
Probability
84.8%
Model confidence
84.8%
Järfälla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.75/3.25
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80