Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gute · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Korsnäs are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Gute are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gute hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (27.1 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.2% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Gute holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gute
Probability
58.2%
Model confidence
58.2%
Gute has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.33/3.00
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00