Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Falu BS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Korsnäs are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Falu BS are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Falu BS hold a 32.5-point power-rating edge (27.1 v 59.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.0% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Falu BS holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Falu BS
Probability
74.0%
Model confidence
74.0%
Falu BS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 18 · avg 0.80/3.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40