Korona Kielcevs
Wisla Krakow
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 9/5/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wisla Krakow · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Korona Kielce 1-1 Wisla Krakow
Original prediction
Wisla Krakow
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 41.9% | 36.1% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 27.1% | 27.2% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.00 | 30.9% | 36.7% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.42 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Wisla Krakow
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Wisla Krakow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40