GGOALVIO

Korona Kielce logoKorona KielcevsMotor Lublin logoMotor Lublin

SCHEDULED

Poland · Ekstraklasa · 8/22/2026, 12:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Korona Kielce · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Korona Kielce are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Motor Lublin are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and korona Kielce hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Ekstraklasa, favouring Korona Kielce with 12.9% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Korona Kielce

Probability

47.3%

Model confidence

12.9%

Korona Kielce has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Korona KielceDLDWL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Motor LublinLLDLD

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Korona KielceMotor Lublin
16.7Attack44.4
66.7Defence22.2
16.7Form11.1
36.5Power29.5
1.63xG1.14
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