Korona Kielcevs
Gornik Zabrze
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 9/15/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gornik Zabrze · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Korona Kielce 0-2 Gornik Zabrze
Original prediction
Gornik Zabrze
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.64 | 35.1% | 30.2% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.7% | 27.6% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 36.2% | 42.2% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Gornik Zabrze
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Gornik Zabrze has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80