Korona Kielcevs
GKS Katowice
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 10/24/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
GKS Katowice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Korona Kielce 1-0 GKS Katowice
Original prediction
GKS Katowice
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 43.8% | 27.4% | -16.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 26.0% | 21.3% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 3.06 | 30.2% | 51.2% | 21.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
21.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
GKS Katowice
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
GKS Katowice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20