Korona Kielce U19vs
Raków Częstochowa U19
COMPLETEDPoland · Central Youth League · 9/6/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Raków Częstochowa U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Korona Kielce U19 0-5 Raków Częstochowa U19
Original prediction
Raków Częstochowa U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 33.2% | 35.4% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.4% | 25.9% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.08 | 42.4% | 38.7% | -3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Raków Częstochowa U19
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Raków Częstochowa U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80