Korona Kielce IIvs
Sokół Kolb.
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 4 · 9/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Korona Kielce II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Korona Kielce II 2-2 Sokół Kolb.
Original prediction
Korona Kielce II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 46.9% | 42.4% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.3% | 25.6% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 28.8% | 31.9% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.72 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Korona Kielce II
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Korona Kielce II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60