Korona Kielce IIvs
Radomiak Radom
COMPLETEDPoland · Cup · 9/1/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Radomiak Radom · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Korona Kielce II 0-1 Radomiak Radom
Original prediction
Radomiak Radom
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.52 | 9.5% | 32.7% | 23.2 pts |
| Draw | 6.09 | 14.8% | 24.1% | 9.3 pts |
| Away | 1.19 | 75.7% | 43.2% | -32.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-32.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Radomiak Radom
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Radomiak Radom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00