Korona Kielce IIvs
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 4 · 9/26/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Korona Kielce II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Korona Kielce II 1-0 KS Wieczysta Krakow II
Original prediction
Korona Kielce II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.2% | 47.1% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 22.3% | 23.2% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.15 | 28.5% | 29.7% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Korona Kielce II
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Korona Kielce II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00