GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 4 · 8/22/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Korona Kielce II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Czarni Połaniec are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Korona Kielce II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and czarni Połaniec hold a 55.7-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 30.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely result in the III Liga - Group 4, favouring Czarni Połaniec with 9.8% confidence, a 65% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Korona Kielce II

Probability

59.0%

Model confidence

9.8%

Korona Kielce II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Korona Kielce IIWWLLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Czarni PołaniecLLWWL

GF 12 · GA 14 · avg 2.40/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Korona Kielce IICzarni Połaniec
66.7Attack83.3
83.3Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
86.5Power30.8
2.32xG1.27
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